The Story Your Bank Is Already Telling

 

Every few years, the conversation returns.

"What are multiples doing?"

 

It's a reasonable question.

Community bank CEOs have been asking it for decades.

 

I've noticed that the more interesting conversations usually begin there.

They rarely stay there.

 

At some point, someone asks a different question.

 

Not what the market is paying.

What kind of institution is the market being asked to value?

That changes the conversation.

 

Over the years, I've watched CEOs become discouraged by market conditions they couldn't control.

 

I've also watched others quietly spend those same years strengthening the institution itself.

 

When the time eventually came to explore a transaction, they weren't relying on a favorable market to tell their story.

The institution was already telling it.

 

Not through presentations.

 

Through years of accumulated decisions.

The quality of the management team.

The consistency of earnings.

The confidence of customers.

The strength of relationships.

The discipline of credit.

The reputation carried into every community conversation.

 

None of those things appeared suddenly.

They had been developing long before anyone asked what the bank might be worth.

Looking back, I think that's one of the easier realities to overlook.

 

Valuation often feels like something the market determines.

 

The institution has been quietly participating in that conversation for years.

 

Long before an investment banker is engaged.

Long before a letter of intent appears.

Long before due diligence begins.

Every strategic decision.

Every leadership hire.

Every difficult conversation handled well.

Every year the institution became a little stronger than it had been before.

 

Those things rarely feel connected to valuation while they're happening.

Later, they often prove to have been the conversation all along.

 

One of the unexpected things about selling a community bank is discovering how many years earlier the story actually began.

By then, very little can be rewritten.

 

Fortunately, that's true whether a transaction ever occurs or not.

The same decisions that strengthen an institution for one possible future also strengthen it for the future it ultimately receives.

 

Perhaps that's why I've gradually become less interested in where multiples happen to be today.

I'm more interested in the story the institution is already telling.

 

Markets eventually have their say.

 

Long before that day arrives, the institution has usually been speaking for itself.